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Raiders Vs. Chargers (-7.5)
This matchup was a one point difference earlier this year and the Raiders have started to look competitive again after a solid showing in Philly last week. The road team has also covered 7 straight games between these two teams. Though the Chargers are fighting for their playoff lives in this game, I expect the Raiders to keep this one within reach. Take the points.
Pick: Raiders +7.5
Chiefs Vs. Broncos (-4)
If Alex Smith starting was this game probably goes to the Chiefs. The Broncos also probably arent 4 point favorites. But Patrick Mahones is getting his first NFL start here. He’ll be playing with a depleted offense against one of the best pass defenses in the NFL. Not to mention he has to go into Mile High to try and get a win. Something that gives accomplished veterans tons of trouble. Even if Brock is his normal terrible self, ill trust the Broncos defense at home against a rookie QB, regardless of his expected talent level.
Pick: Broncos -4
Saints Vs. Bucs (+5.5)
The Saints are utterly dominant ATS within their division over the past two seasons, going 13-3 overall. This Bucs team is spiraling out of control and the once-promising Jameis Winston looks to be crumbling week over week. The Bucs are 5-9-1 ATS this season. The Saints are rolling going into the playoffs and the Bucs are already booking their tee times. A win gets New Orleans home field advantage in the playoffs, so there’s motivation to bring this win home. Look for the Saints prolific offense to run this terrible Bucs defense off the field and cover this spread easily.
Pick: Saints -5.5
Packers Vs. Lions (-7)
The Packers season is officially unraveled. Hundley has shown he cannot really keep this team afloat normally and in this game, he’ll be without Davante Adams, Jordy Nelson and Adam Jones on offense. The Lions historically play the Packers tough and that’s when they have Aaron Rodgers. Stafford should be ready to go and the Lions should have the motivation to finish the season strong to try and save Jim Caldwell’s job. End of the day Hundley doesn’t have the ability to beat the Lions with his full offense, with almost none of his offense, the chances dwindle to almost nothingness. Lay the points as I expect the Packers to lay down in this game.
Pick: Lions -7
Jaguars Vs. Titans (-3)
I went over this two weeks ago when I picked against the Titans, but the Titans simply just aren’t good. I’ve never seen such a bad football team with a winning record this late in the year. The Jaguars, on the other hand, are very talented and very good. As long as Blake Bortles doesn’t throw more picks than touchdowns they’re in a great spot. The Jaguars defense should dominate this Titans offense. How the Jaguars are the dogs in this game is beyond me. Normally I would think this is a trap game if it was anyone but the Titans, but they’re just so bad. I suppose it might be out of fear that the Jaguars who have nothing to play for will sit their starters, but they’ve already come out and said they intend to play everyone. At +3, even with the Jaguars backups i still might take them.
Pick: Jaguars +3 and Moneyline
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